He first made his mark by figuring out new ways to analyze the performance of major league baseball players via a system for forecasting performance and career development known as PECOTA. More recently, he translated his incredible number-crunching talents to the arena of politics -- and his predictions of an Obama landslide proved amazingly to be accurate. SXSW Interactive is excited that Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com will serve as the keynote speaker on Sunday, March 15.
Interviewing Silver at SXSW will be veteran BusinessWeek reporter Stephen Baker, whose recent book "The Numerati" explains the growing power of metadata in today's society. Baker has written for many publications, including the Wall Street Journal, the Los Angeles Times, and the Boston Globe. He won an Overseas Press Club Award for his portrait of the rising Mexican auto industry. Baker is also the coauthor of blogspotting.net, featured by the New York Times as one of its top fifty blogs to watch.
Room is filling up fast.
Traditonal polls are over interpreted and overblown
Trying to find an intelligent and meaningful way to tell the story
Can't treat voters as a monolith...
Shouldn't lump racial voters together. People are too quick to assume something is about race when it often isn't
Voting is complicated and many US voters are not voting simply on the issues of the time...
People are looking for leadership, personality, and a variety of attributes...
Even with his baseball algorithm, Nate was always following politics but building domain knowledge before jumping into politics
Baseball and politics are similar in that they have long seasons with lots of polls and data bubbling up over time. Patience is important.
Talking about baseball. Snooze.
Talking about the economic crunch and impact on voters
Interesting that people are very pessimistic but Obama has high approval rating... this is somewhat odd
Means Obama needs to get moving fast before he is blamed for the economy by the majority
somnambulant
lunaroja
flashlight
Andre
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